Bitcoin Faces a Potential Range-Bound Scenario
According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin could remain locked in a broad $60,000 to $80,000 range by the end of the year if the US Federal Reserve chooses not to cut interest rates in December. While demand potential remains, macroeconomic uncertainty continues to weigh on market sentiment.
High interest rates typically reduce risk appetite, making it harder for capital to flow aggressively into volatile assets like cryptocurrencies.
Stablecoin Reserves Hit All-Time Highs
Despite the cautious outlook, a bullish signal remains in the background. Stablecoin reserves held on exchanges have reached record levels, indicating that significant liquidity is waiting on the sidelines.
Historically, every major Bitcoin rally in 2025 has been preceded by an increase in available stablecoin balances. This pattern suggests that investors are positioning capital in advance, waiting for clearer macroeconomic signals before deploying funds.
Liquidity Is Ready, But Confidence Is Not
The contradiction in the market is clear. On one side, liquidity is strong and ready to enter; on the other, uncertainty over inflation, central bank policy and global economic conditions is holding buyers back.
Until there is clarity from the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin is likely to continue moving in a wide but defined range.
What Could Trigger the Next Move
A rate cut in December could act as the catalyst needed to unlock sidelined capital. If that happens, stablecoin reserves may rapidly convert into spot and derivative positions, potentially pushing Bitcoin beyond current resistance levels.
If not, consolidation could continue into the new year, with volatility remaining compressed inside the $60,000–$80,000 corridor.
